Author Archives: Chris Belchamber

US Markets. The Debt Bet. 5 questions. Interest rate cycle turn.

https://wolfstreet.com/2018/10/16/who-bought-the-1-6-trillion-of-new-us-national-debt-treasury-securities-foreign-domestic/ Investors in US equities should no longer be under illusions about what is the main driver of the rally since 2009. Debt, and government debt in particular. Attribution was examined in detail here: http://chrisbelchamber.com/stock-market-rally-attribution-debt-dependence-cyclical-risk/ The S&P 500 has left … Continue reading

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Transform Your Investment Mindset. Transform Your Long Term Wealth Accumulation.

Free Webinar 7pm to 8pm Monday November 5th Transform Your Investment Mindset. Transform Your Long Term Wealth Accumulation. The challenge of becoming a successful long term investor is rarely addressed in full. Without the proper foundation the markets will find … Continue reading

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Q3 2018 Quarterly Review. Debt, Cycles, and Mindset.

Q3 2018 Quarterly Review. Debt, Cycles, and Mindset. Clarity Market conditions Buybacks Debt and Cycles Cycle sages Strategy Risk Assessment Execution and monitoring Summary and Mindset polarization ————————- Clarity In my view this is a very unusual time for investors … Continue reading

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Investment Mindset Bootcamp. Stop Gambling. Start Accumulating Long Term Wealth. Step 5.

Step 5. Defining The Most Important Investment Assessment Metrics. “Consideration of risk must never take a backseat to return.” Seth Klarman https://www.slideshare.net/vlad0/seth-klarman-the-forgotten-lessons-of-2008 “Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1.”  Warren Buffett https://www.forbes.com/sites/agoodman/2013/09/25/the-top-40-buffettisms-inspiration-to-become-a-better-investor/#4d6752e97ccb “One … Continue reading

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10 Extremes Mean Risk In Financial “Never Never Land”

“An economic recovery based around high debt is really no recovery” Larry Elliott This list of extremes seems to add up to a kind of financial “Never Never Land”. Most investors seem unaware of the extent and historic nature of … Continue reading

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Investment Mindset Bootcamp. Stop Gambling. Start Accumulating Long Term Wealth. Step 4.

Step4. The Simple And Essential Math Of Investing. Very little is more important, when it comes to investing than understanding the basic dynamics of risk and return and how to use these two crucial concepts to your best advantage. In … Continue reading

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Stock Market Rally Attribution. Debt Dependence. Cyclical risk.

A clearer idea of the main drivers of the multi-year US stock market rally provides new insight about its durability and substance. The main causes of the rally can materially change perspectives about the outlook. Cycles allow for both bulls … Continue reading

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Investment Mindset Bootcamp. Stop Gambling. Start Accumulating Long Term Wealth. Step 3.

Step 3: Focused Alignment With Suitable Strategy. Avoiding Impulse Triggers And Linear Thinking. Debunking Investment Myths. “You’ve got to be careful if you don’t know where you’re going, ’cause you might not get there.”  Yogi Berra “With every new wave … Continue reading

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Positions, Valuations, And Cycles. All At Challenging Extremes.

Positions, Valuations, And Cycles. All At Challenging Extremes. “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” Warren Buffett “I believe that the highest probability bet you can make in your investment strategy is that human nature … Continue reading

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Investment Mindset Bootcamp. Stop Gambling. Start Accumulating Long Term Wealth. Step 2.

Investment Mindset Bootcamp. Stop Gambling. Start Accumulating Long Term Wealth. Step 2. Step 2 of 7: How psychology and technology can improve your investing Step 1 focused mainly on describing the broad challenge of increasing the probability of long term … Continue reading

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