Author Archives: Chris Belchamber

10 Extremes Mean Risk In Financial “Never Never Land”

“An economic recovery based around high debt is really no recovery” Larry Elliott This list of extremes seems to add up to a kind of financial “Never Never Land”. Most investors seem unaware of the extent and historic nature of … Continue reading

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Investment Mindset Bootcamp. Stop Gambling. Start Accumulating Long Term Wealth. Step 4.

Step4. The Simple And Essential Math Of Investing. Very little is more important, when it comes to investing than understanding the basic dynamics of risk and return and how to use these two crucial concepts to your best advantage. In … Continue reading

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Stock Market Rally Attribution. Debt Dependence. Cyclical risk.

A clearer idea of the main drivers of the multi-year US stock market rally provides new insight about its durability and substance. The main causes of the rally can materially change perspectives about the outlook. Cycles allow for both bulls … Continue reading

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Investment Mindset Bootcamp. Stop Gambling. Start Accumulating Long Term Wealth. Step 3.

Step 3: Focused Alignment With Suitable Strategy. Avoiding Impulse Triggers And Linear Thinking. Debunking Investment Myths. “You’ve got to be careful if you don’t know where you’re going, ’cause you might not get there.”  Yogi Berra “With every new wave … Continue reading

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Positions, Valuations, And Cycles. All At Challenging Extremes.

Positions, Valuations, And Cycles. All At Challenging Extremes. “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” Warren Buffett “I believe that the highest probability bet you can make in your investment strategy is that human nature … Continue reading

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Investment Mindset Bootcamp. Stop Gambling. Start Accumulating Long Term Wealth. Step 2.

Investment Mindset Bootcamp. Stop Gambling. Start Accumulating Long Term Wealth. Step 2. Step 2 of 7: How psychology and technology can improve your investing Step 1 focused mainly on describing the broad challenge of increasing the probability of long term … Continue reading

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Investment Mindset Bootcamp. Stop Gambling. Start Accumulating Long Term Wealth. Step 1.

Step 1 of 7: Awareness and understanding the challenge of long term investment success. “I’m a dumb shit who doesn’t know much relative to what I need to know”  Ray Dalio writes at the beginning of his new book, Principles. Ray Dalio … Continue reading

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Global Divergence Extends. Buyback Records. Debt Supernova. US Dollar Shortage. CRB verdict.

The global equity market performance divergence has continued to widen. It is very important to understand why as mean reversion could be a shock to US investors, with the S&P 500 outperforming global equities by around 15% this year! Buybacks … Continue reading

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Q2 2018 Review. Global Downturn continues As US Peaks.

2018 so far has been challenging for most investors. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-06-29/global-stocks-suffer-worst-start-year-2010-emerging-markets-collapse At the beginning of 2018 the broad consensus was projecting “global synchronized growth” continuing from 2017. While US growth continued to rise through Q2 2018, the last quarterly review, http://chrisbelchamber.com/q1-2018-performance-review-markets-in-transition/, showed … Continue reading

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Global Divergences, Challenging Cycles, Fragile Trends, Selective Allocation

Global Divergences, Challenging Cycles, Fragile Trends, Selective Allocation The most powerful influence on equity performance this year has been the global divergence of growth between the US and the rest of the world. As highlighted a few months ago, http://chrisbelchamber.com/q1-2018-performance-review-markets-in-transition/, … Continue reading

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