Category Archives: Market Notes

Investment Management: Why You Need A Complete Rethink. Part 2 – Stock/Bond Passive Allocation Strategies Are Nonsense!

In Part 1 I formulated a clear metric for analyzing investment returns – Repeatable Volatility Adjusted Returns (RVAR). In part 2 I take a look at allocation strategies. Now that we know what metric to look for the job of … Continue reading

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Why You Need A Complete Rethink. Part 1 – The best assessment of Investment Management is not Returns.

Investment Management: Why You Need A Complete Rethink. Part 1 – The best assessment of Investment Management is not Returns. How can you judge whether your returns or any investment manager’s returns demonstrate superior asset management either compared to a benchmark or … Continue reading

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“Bubble or Recession: The Fed Must Choose”

Credit Growth Weak This Cycle And Now Falling Number of OECD countries with inflation below 2% is continuing to trend higher! How can the Fed possibly unwind QE? Jim Rickards believes the next recession is already on the way “Bubble … Continue reading

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Financial System Fragmentation. China Transformation.

Our financial system Is driving fragmentation Further centralization no longer provides benefits Recession signal from Loans and Deliquencies The burden of debt rises with falling inflation Carmegeddon Central Banks losing their fight with degrowth. Lost in their obviously false narrative. … Continue reading

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H1 2017 Performance Report

Central Bank domination of Economic policy and markets continues and accelerates Creates escalating economic and market dysfunction Unprecedented challenge for long term investment Yield curve and TIP suggests policy is already overly tight While the market is indicating that inflation … Continue reading

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5 Vital Steps To Choosing A Financial Advisor

Should you talk to a Financial Advisor? Ask for Financial Planning? Asset Management? Wealth Management? Investment Management or an  investment manager? Investment Adviser or Registered Investment Adviser? What really matters to the client is not immediately apparent from any of … Continue reading

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The Supernova Model Of Financial Collapse

​Every unsound investment has a very bad ending sooner or later Central Banks have made the global financial system unsound through excessive leverage  Central Banks Weakened The Economy To The Point Of No Return, With Massive Uncontrollable leverage Just Like … Continue reading

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Launching Quant Agora

TradeStops have recently announced a new level of portfolio management capability that they call “Pure Quant”. This technology takes their already highly successful “Stock State Indicator” (SSI) and makes it easy to apply to a wider range of investment ideas … Continue reading

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“Shocking Truth” About Policy, Central Banks, and Markets

Central Bankers are the source of the instability they themselves are supposed to remedy. Central Banks are supporting mind boggling leverage in the system to fuel market support, compounding the instability. Central Banks then “solve” that problem too – Market Intervention … Continue reading

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How China Could Change The Global Financial System.

Bank lending stopped growing immediately Trump was elected. Capital One’s charge-off rates are climbing steeply from Q3 2016. What happens when the old debt starts decaying faster than new sugar shot debt can offset? “objectives can only be achieved by … Continue reading

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