Monthly Archives: October 2017

Bond Market Signals A Clear Long Term Warning

Posted on October 31, 2017 by Chris Belchamber

One of the most reliable recession signals in history is the Treasury yield curve. The long end of the yield curve is warning of trouble. The 5/30 year bond yield spread has now fallen well below where it was just … Continue reading →

Posted in Notable Articles | Leave a comment

Q3 2017 Review And Outlook

Posted on October 20, 2017 by Chris Belchamber

The chart above shows the extraordinary extent of the rally from 2009 both in time and magnitude . The ratio of the S&P 500 to its own volatility, VIX, shows the cycles in a new way. As rallies typically come … Continue reading →

Posted in Market Notes | Leave a comment

Feudal Financialization

Posted on October 4, 2017 by Chris Belchamber

​ Illusions of Prosperity  Astonishing and accelerating income disparity Trump Tax Plan: 2.4 Trillion more debt mainly for the top 1%? More Debt and inequality is the default long term stagnation plan An emerging alternative idea, and in establishment circles? … Continue reading →

Posted in Notable Articles | Leave a comment